Daily bias and liquidity: a futures trading framework

Start with an objective you can identify

A daily bias is a working expectation about where price may move and what would support that move. It needs a destination and conditions that could change the view.

The beginner’s futures guide puts this preparation step alongside contract sizing, orders and risk. For consistent highs and lows, first check the session boundaries and chart timezone.

In Moh’s course, he puts the objective before the entry pattern. His term draw on liquidity means the price reference he expects the market to seek, such as a previous-day high or a session low. Without a clear objective, he says the lower-timeframe setup lacks context. Course explanation at 2:40:49–2:42:42.

That expectation is a hypothesis. A level being marked on a chart does not establish that price must reach it.

Give each level a time and a session

In his November 2025 liquidity lesson, Moh narrows his attention to highs and lows from named periods. These provide a reason for selecting a level instead of marking every visible swing. Time-based liquidity at 2:23–3:59.

Record the session definition and chart timezone. A regular-session high and a full-session high can differ. Comparing two charts with different boundaries can produce a misleading comparison.

Moh also says he often avoids marking every session extreme when it duplicates the day’s high or low. Removing duplicate markings keeps those references readable. His marking preference at 3:59–4:16.

He interprets these levels as places where orders may cluster. The candles alone do not reveal the quantity of resting stops or the identity of a participant.

Read the context around the level

His June 2023 daily-bias lesson uses four questions across higher timeframes:

1. Is price trending or ranging?
2. Which gaps or other marked areas could affect the move?
3. Which liquidity references remain?
4. Where is price within the selected range?

That lesson starts with the weekly chart, then examines the daily and 12-hour charts. It is a dated example of his analysis, rather than a requirement to use those exact charts for every trade. The four questions at 0:16–0:53.

A fair value gap is the three-candle pattern he uses to mark an interval between the first and third candles’ wick ranges. Premium and discount describe the upper and lower halves of a chosen range. Record the range’s endpoints; changing them changes those labels.

These features organize his interpretation. They do not make the next move certain.

Keep a second path in the plan

The July 17, 2025 breakdown gives a concrete example. Moh describes a bullish premarket view with two possible paths: nearby 15-minute gaps could hold, or price could first trade lower through the 23,072 reference into an hourly area before he investigated another move higher. The conditional plan at 0:11–0:43.

The first path failing would therefore require reassessment at the next area. It would not automatically give permission to enter.

This section of the video is a retrospective explanation of his plan. It is useful evidence of how he describes the scenarios; it does not independently verify every trade or the day’s claimed earnings.

Wait for evidence at the chosen area

A directional view can coexist with uncertainty about an entry.

In the July 31 breakdown, price moves below the day’s low. Moh leans toward further downside, but identifies conflicting bullish and bearish five-minute gaps. He describes waiting for one to be invalidated before choosing a direction. Waiting for confirmation at 0:18–1:04.

The course describes the same separation: reach the higher-timeframe area, then look for a lower-timeframe confirmation that it is holding. Entry sequence at 3:09:43–3:10:18.

The guide to skipping a trade examines what happens when the directional view remains plausible but the entry conditions fail.

Write down what would change the view

Before moving to the entry chart, record:

• The remaining objective and its session or date.
• The area where you would investigate an entry.
• The confirmation required there.
• The evidence that would cancel or change the idea.
• Whether the objective has already been reached.

Moh’s course includes examples of changing bias when the expected continuation fails. Keep that possibility in the plan rather than defending the first forecast indefinitely. Reassessing the thesis at 2:03:40–2:05:56.

For a worked chart sequence, use the NQ course review. To evaluate repeatable rules across a broader sample, start with the backtesting workflow and keep the original plan visible when reviewing the outcome.